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Ninth Circuit Rules Nevada Can Regulate Kalshi's Sports Prediction Contracts
RegulationNews3 min readAI-assisted

Ninth Circuit Rules Nevada Can Regulate Kalshi's Sports Prediction Contracts

A federal appeals court ruled Nevada gaming regulators can subject Kalshi's sports-event contracts to state gambling laws, deepening a circuit split over

September 1, 2026Source: pymnts.com

The Ninth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals has ruled unanimously that Nevada may subject Kalshi's sports-event contracts to state gambling laws, handing state gaming regulators a significant victory in their jurisdictional dispute with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The decision addresses a core question dividing federal courts: whether sports-related prediction contracts qualify as financial derivatives falling under exclusive CFTC regulation, or whether they function as conventional sports wagers subject to state oversight.

The ruling directly conflicts with an April decision from the Third Circuit, which held that New Jersey could not regulate Kalshi's sports contracts. That earlier decision favored federal, CFTC-exclusive oversight of such contracts, while the Ninth Circuit's ruling supports state authority to apply gambling laws to the same type of product.

A Growing Circuit Split

  • Ninth Circuit: Nevada can regulate Kalshi's sports-event contracts under state gambling laws.
  • Third Circuit (April decision): New Jersey cannot regulate Kalshi's sports contracts, favoring CFTC jurisdiction.

The conflicting rulings between the Ninth and Third Circuits deepen uncertainty over which regulatory framework governs prediction markets tied to sports events, an issue that has drawn increasing attention as platforms like Kalshi expand their sports-related contract offerings.

Read more at PYMNTS

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